Tuesday, September 11, 2007

My niece's first purchase

Today being Tuesday, Sharebuilder executed my (one-time) automatic savings plan in the new account I set up for my niece. The account now has 2.0738 shares of... wait for it... Pfizer! I know in previous posts I've gone on at length about why I didn't like Pfizer as a stock to own (if not as a company), but they've taken a real beating in the market lately and it looks good to me. The dividend yield is just about 5% and is set to increase regularly. Since I'm honestly planning not to sell these shares for 20 years (think of what the $19.95 real-time commission would do to the profits!), I feel like that gives Pfizer plenty of time to come up with a few great new drugs, raise the dividend significantly, and perhaps buy a few smaller drug companies to stimulate growth.

Speaking of the real-time commission, at some point these shares *will* have to be sold. Therefore my strategy is going to be to invest in just a few securities (some individual stocks and some ETFs) so that each position is big enough in 20 years that the commission won't seriously hurt it.

Since I just opened the account, I was able to participate in a free trial of Sharebuilder's standard pricing program, which means there was no commission on the purchase. However, after this month is up I'm going to have to come up with a strategy to minimize commissions. It will probably involve investing her birthday and Christmas presents together.

Another idea is to use this account for my other niece and nephew rather than opening separate accounts for them. Even though I'll miss out on potential promotions (like the $50 I got for opening this account), over the long run it'll save quite a lot in commissions. The downside is that transferring the shares to them will be more complicated. Well, I don't have to decide now!

A use for margin

Margin is a tool that lets an investor borrow money from his broker to buy stocks. Because you're using borrowed money, you're increasing the leverage of your non-borrowed money. For instance, if you invest $1000 and borrow $500, the total of $1500 is 1.5 times greater than your $1000 alone. That can be good if stocks go up, because you get 1.5 times the profit. Of course, if stocks go down, you lose 1.5 times as much. And in the worst case-, you can lose more money than you invested to begin with because you'll still owe the margin!

Investing with margin can be a dangerous game, much like speculating in real estate. Is there ever a wise time to use margin? Well since I opened a stock trading account for my niece, I've been thinking a lot about investing small sums of money ($50 or so). Let's say that the interest rate on your margin loan is 12% to make the math easyish (margin rates are usually lower).

So, if we're using Sharebuilder, commissions are $4, which means that every time you invest $50 you lose 4/50 = 8%. That's the equivalent of 8 months of margin interest (ignoring compounding), which should tell us there's some probably an equilibrium point around there. So let's look at the total cost of borrowing 8 months worth of investments on margin compared to simply investing each month.

8 months of interest = 8% * 50 + 7% * 50 + 6% * 50 + 5% * 50 + 4% * 50 + 3% * 50 + 2% * 50 + 1% * 50 = 0.36 * 50 = $18.

8 months of commissions = 8 * 4 = $32.

Total amount invested = 8 * 50 = $400

Overhead of margin = 18/400 = 4.5%

Overhead of commissions = 32/400 = 8%

As you can see, despite the huge interest rate, using margin has actually cut our overhead almost in half.

Of course, the other method is to save up 8 months of investments and invest all at once, giving an overhead of only 4/400 = 1%. Now you have to judge whether your investment will gain 3.5% over the next 8 months. Well most people who want to invest are optimistic that the future will always be higher (on average), otherwise they wouldn't be investing! So this actually seems like a fairly wise use of margin. It's something to think about if you are making frequent, small investments!

Thursday, September 6, 2007

Stocks for kids

My niece is turning three this month so I've been spending some time figuring out what to get her. I came up with three options: toys, activities, and stocks. She has plenty of toys already so when I looked through the aisles at some local toy stores, nothing jumped out at me. Does she need yet another doll? I decided not. Activities are a nice gift but she's already enrolled in gymnastics and my mom is getting her swimming lessons. That left me with stocks. I've been wanting to do that for a few years, to be honest, but now I'm finally doing some research into how it's done.

The thing is, what's the best way to give stocks to other people's kids? I guess for most people the easiest way is to give the parents the money and ask them invest it. I sort of tried that already with my other niece (both are my sister's daughters) but my sister said something pretty shocking: She told me she was going to take all the birthday money from everyone and put it towards a sandbox! Maybe that's not shocking, I don't know. I was shocked but my mom thought it was fine.

My sister's in-laws actually avoided the situation by announcing that they had opened a savings accounts for each child and deposited some money into them. At the time (this was before my sister's plan was revealed) I thought, wow isn't that kind of rude and mistrustful? Plus, how wise is it to save $X.00 a year in a SAVINGS ACCOUNT earning 2% interest or whatever, when the money won't be needed for perhaps 20 years?

Anyway, when my sister let slip her intentions for all the money, I realized the importance of being able to maintain some control over your gift. Not to be mean, but I want to give this gift to my niece and not my sister. I'm sad that she doesn't already have a nice little stock trading account with a few years' worth of investments.

So I began investigating what options I had.

The easiest thing is for parents to be involved, no question. Everything I read pretty much assumes that the parents are the ones setting up the account, whether it's an IRA, 529 account, or custodial account.

It turns out that for 3-year olds, IRAs are pretty much out of the question. Apparently the IRS doesn't consider allowances to qualify as earned income, and nobody would believe a 3-year old was a participant in a home business. Then I read that you can actually deposit unearned income in an IRA and pay a 6% penalty on it. Not bad, right? A 6% penalty in exchange for tax free growth! Well then I found out that the 6% penalty happens every year that the unearned income remains in the account, until it's all gone! So IRAs are definitely out.

Section 529 plans are almost an ideal solution to the issue. Anybody can open one and you don't even have to be related to the beneficiary. There are two reasons I don't like them, though. First of all, they're limited to paying for education-related expenses (college). What if she gets a full scholarship and doesn't need the money for college? Then you pay income tax on the withdrawal plus a 10% penalty. Well, paying for college is a really boring gift that is better left to her parents anyway. I'm thinking she can use it to buy a car, start investing, or travel around Europe!

Oh and the second reason is that they are awfully limited in their investment choices. The 529 plan for my state doesn't offer the ability to buy individual stocks. Instead, you have to choose from 12 mutual funds. That's not my style.

Coverdell ESAs (Education Savings Accounts) are similar to 529 plans except that (from what I can tell) only the parents can set one up (though anybody can contribute) and you can invest in stocks. Again, there's a penalty if the child uses the money for non-educational expenses, plus there's the whole thing about the parents having to set it up.

Custodial accounts are generally (always?) opened by a parent of the child. The bad thing about them is that anything you put into the account actually belongs to the child. When they turn 18, they can do whatever they want with it. To me, the ideal time for a gift like this is a year or two after college graduation. That way they have some life experience and some appreciation for money and savings.

Then I read three very interesting things. First, the gift tax exemption is something like $12000 a year, and if you're married you can use both exemptions for a total of $24000. Second, if you transfer shares of stock to someone as a gift, the characteristics such as basis cost and time held stay the same. Third, if you're in a low tax bracket (10% or 15%), the long-term capital gains tax is only 5%! Whoa! So basically, by keeping the stocks myself, I can give her up to $12000 in stock per year and if she sells immediately she only has to pay 5% capital gains tax. Good deal! Of course, I'll have two responsibilities in the meantime: pay taxes on dividends (which won't be huge) and make sure to buy-and-hold (no problem). Plus I have to make sure to give it all to her before she starts making lots of money.

So yesterday I opened up a new Sharebuilder account in my name and used a promotion code to get a $50 gift. Plus, I signed up for a free trial of their "standard pricing" program, which means I get 6 free trades. So I'm taking the promotion gift and the birthday gift and investing in a single stock. I'm thinking about doing the Christmas gift now too, to avoid commissions.

I'm plagued with doubts about whether I did the right thing, though. Is it mean to basically prevent my sister from using the cash as she sees fit? Do I have to get my niece a regular present as well, since a Sharebuilder account statement isn't very exciting? Have I overlooked any important tax consequences of this action?

Wednesday, August 22, 2007

My MOMA Advice

I was tagged by Stealth Wealth to continue Moolanomy’s My One Money Advice (MOMA) Meme. Moolanomy is trying to promote financial responsibility and awareness in our hyper consumption society.

The question: If you can give one advice, tip, or story related to money, what would you share?

My advice is to form habits. It doesn't really matter what they are, but remember there's a difference between forming habits and picking them up (at least in the way I use the words). Forming implies some directed effort, I think, whereas picking up implies that it's all happenstance. Picked up habits are often bad, whereas formed habits are often virtuous. Exercising regularly, for instance, doesn't just happen for many people, it has to be consciously achieved.

Today, a lot of things in the financial realm of our lives can be automated. Many bills can be paid automatically, savings can be deducted from your paycheck, IRA and 401(k) contributions can be made automatically. Those should be taken advantage of whenever possible, but it's interesting that automating your life externally is in a sense a way to avoid forming good habits internally. So even though I make automatic payments when I can, I still have mixed feelings about it because I don't think it provides you with the same benefits.

One of the habits that I'm trying to form right now is checking my mail regularly. Sad huh? In the past I have gone for a month at a time without checking the mail. One time the mailbox was so full that the mailman left me a note saying he couldn't fit any more mail into the box! I think I picked up that habit through classical conditioning -- when I had a lot of credit card debt, going to the mailbox began producing the same sense of dread as opening the mail to find a credit card statement that I felt like I had no hope of paying off.

Oftentimes, a good habit may seem totally unrelated to your finances, but will nonetheless have an impact. For instance, a seemingly non-financial habit I'm trying to form is keeping my apartment clean. This includes taking the trash out regularly, doing the dishes each night, vacuuming, etc. What's that have to do with finances? Well now that it's cleaner, I realize that I used to seek to escape my apartment by going out and doing useless stuff that ended up wasting a lot of money. I would go out to a cafe to have an expensive coffee just to be in a different environment. I went out for dinner a lot because the kitchen was too messy.

Another nice habit is getting up early and having a morning routine. I'm one of those people who, for most of their life, got up at the last minute, threw on some clothes, and always seemed to be a few minutes late. I want to be the kind of person who gets up early, makes a nice breakfast, and has a cup of coffee with the morning paper. Financial benefit: eating breakfast regularly at home will save lots of money compared to stopping at the drive through. Health benefit: well, it's a lot healthier too.

But the main benefit of forming habits isn't the immediate financial payoff. It's that you become a more responsible and balanced person and, I feel, you are more connected to life. In the long run, I think that can have a huge impact on your finances and general well-being.

If anybody wants to suggest some other good non-financial habits that end up having a positive impact, I'd love to hear about them. :)

Monday, August 6, 2007

Bought more AAV

On my lunch break I happened to see that AAV was down about 6%. There isn't any news that suggests a reason for this, but the Yahoo Finance message boards speculate that the sharp drop is due to two factors. First, they speculate that over the past few months, hedge funds have been spending a lot on Canadian energy stocks because of the possibility of quick gains from mergers and acquisitions within the industry due to the depressed share prices. There has been some activity on those fronts, but not as much as was expected. Now that prices have been recovering, they are not as attractive for takeovers, so people are losing faith in buyout rumors. The hedge funds need to sell their shares and take their money elsewhere. Some have suggested that they are facing credit pressures due to their use of margin and leverage. Whatever the reason, there's no doubt that there was a large amount of selling done today.

Anyway, the second factor (according to the boards) in the price drop was that Canada's markets are closed today. This took away a good portion of the support for AAV in terms of buyers. The high selling activity in combination with the low buying activity can only mean one thing -- sharp drops in price.

Who knows how accurate the part about hedge funds is, but on the face of it this looks like another good chance to buy some AAV while it's undervalued. I originally got in even lower than this point, and as it climbed I regretted not buying more shares. Now it seems that I have another chance. To get some fast cash, I sold my entire DUK position. I'm not disenchanted with DUK or anything, but it was either that or GE. I put the proceeds into AAV.

This is one of the two reasons I don't have AAV in my IRA. The first one is that I heard that the foreign taxes on AAV dividends can't be recovered in an IRA (which doesn't bother me right now, but could be important down the road). The second is that it's a pretty volatile stock and that's not the sort of thing you want in a small IRA. My IRA money is fully invested and I can't contribute anything more this year. If a stock drops significantly, I'm stuck just watching it or cutting my losses and selling. As my balance grows over the years (can someone tell me why contribution limits are so annoyingly low, when 401(k)'s and other retirement instruments have much higher limits??? It really stinks for those of us who don't have a retirement plans via their jobs) I will build up enough ballast in the form of bonds and cash that I can invest in riskier stocks. But until then, my IRA will have to be a bit more conservative.

Luckily, I got in just before AAV began a slight recovery. Even if it goes up quickly again, I don't think I'll sell these shares. Instead, I'll take my next few contributions and restore my position in DUK. I'm excited thinking about what my portfolio will look like by Christmas.

By the way, even though it's high summer, with temperatures reaching 100F, Christmas is only about 4.5 months away. Isn't that weird? I need to take a few more trips to the beach this year before the sun is gone. I should also start thinking about budgeting for presents in advance (something I've never, ever successfully done).

Friday, August 3, 2007

Growth estimation formula

I was thinking yesterday of how cool it would be to open an investment account for your kids when they're born and deposit $2000 a year in each one. To figure out how much money they would have after n years on a calculator isn't easy, due to the addition of money each year. In a flash of inspiration, though, I realized that the total growth could be calculated easily if you pad the initial deposit such that the interest earned in the first year equals the amount you would normally deposit. Then at the end, subtract the initial padded amount.

For instance, how much money would your child have at age 20? Well, assuming 10% return, you would need $20k to generate your $2k payment. So we use the simple compound interest formula to get 20000 * 1.1^20 = 134550. Subtract the original 20000 and you're left with 114550. How does this compare to using, say, bankrate.com? They come up with 125052, which is pretty close. How cool of a college graduation present would that be?

Is there a more accurate estimation that's still easy to compute? I play these number fantasy games all the time, so any tips would be appreciated. :)

Thursday, August 2, 2007

Dividends

I was surprised to see that Best Buy had given me a little dividend in my IRA and it's already been reinvested in partial shares. Some bloggers post a nice table of historical dividend returns, and it's really cool to see how (pretty much) each time the dividend gets a little bit bigger. So I'm going to start doing that. At least it'll give me something to post about! Hmm, well since most of my investing money is in Scottrade still, which doesn't have free dividend reinvestment, you won't see the same exciting compounding action. But most of the companies I invest in have a history of raising their dividend periodically, so there will be at least some increase. Anyway, without further ado:

AAV

  • July 2007 - $36.51


AGG
  • July 2007 - $2.10, reinvested into 0.021 shares


BBY
  • July 2007 - $2.00, reinvested into 0.046 shares


DUK
  • Coming in September...


GE (Scottrade)
  • July 2007 - $28.00


GE (TD Ameritrade)
  • July 2007 - $5.60, reinvested into 0.139 shares


JNJ
  • Coming in September...